[climateprediction.net] How do population dynamics affect impact of heat extremes?

[BOINC_News]

Understanding how continuing increases in global mean temperature will exacerbate societal exposure to extreme weather events is a question of profound importance. Following the signing of the Paris Agreement in December 2015, a targeted focus has emerged within the scientific community to better understand how changes to the global climate system will evolve in response to specific thresholds of future global mean warming, such as 1.5 ◦C or 2◦C above ‘pre-industrial levels’. However, determining population exposure to the impacts of heat extremes at 1.5 °C and 2 °C of global warming requires not only a robust understanding of the physical climate system response, but also consideration of projected changes to overall population size, as well as where people will live in the future. A recent analysis [1] by Dr Luke Harrington and Dr Friederike Otto of climateprediction.net introduces a new framework, adapted from studies...

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